11. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
Outlook: One of the most consistent fantasy quarterbacks, Ryan?s made steady improvements in each of his five NFL seasons. His inability to run the ball, and the addition of Steven Jackson, prevents him from landing in the top 10. Still, it wouldn?t surprise me to see him outperform his projections.
Projections: 4,532 passing yards, 74 rushing yards, 30 touchdowns (1 rushing), & 18 turnovers (3 fumbles)
12. Eli Manning, N.Y. Giants
Outlook: The gap from Ryan to Manning is very significant. It?s in fact the largest point gap (about 36 points) from one quarterback to the other among the top 30. An unproven running game gives Manning upside, but not enough to warrant upper echelon fantasy status.
Projections: 4,226 passing yards, 45 rushing yards, 28 touchdowns, & 23 turnovers (5 fumbles)
13. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals
Outlook: As the top 15?s most surprising entry, Dalton has two critical things going for him. He gets to play with A.J. Green and he?s a sneaky-good scrambler. These two elements allowed him to score 31 touchdowns (four rushing) last season. His 31 scores were higher than Joe Flacco, Eli Manning, and Ben Roethlisberger. Don?t be afraid to wait on Dalton, while others reach for those bigger named quarterbacks.
Projections: 3,716 passing yards, 117 rushing yards, 30 touchdowns (4 rushing), & 22 turnovers (5 fumbles)
14. Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Outlook: Freeman?s inconsistency will scare many fantasy owners away, but Vincent Jackson really helped his progression, and Tampa?s inability to stop anyone gave Freeman a number of high-scoring opportunities.
Projections: 4,005 passing yards, 171 rushing yards, 23 touchdowns, & 18 turnovers (2 fumbles)
15. Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers
Outlook: It wasn?t long ago that Rivers was a top-flight fantasy quarterback. Playing for Mike McCoy will help him turn around, but Antonio Gates? regression, and the failure to replace Vincent Jackson is holding back Rivers? fantasy value.
Projections: 4,137 passing yards, 65 rushing yards, 25 touchdowns, & 20 turnovers (5 fumbles)
16. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys
Outlook: Many associate risk versus reward scenarios with younger, scrambling quarterbacks. However, Romo also fits that bill. He?s a talented thrower, but he doesn?t have an injury-free history, and he?s playing behind an atrocious offensive line. He could finish anywhere from the top 10 to riding your bench because of injury. Use your best judgment.
Projections: 3,794 passing yards, 60 rushing yards, 25 touchdowns (1 rushing), & 14 turnovers (3 fumbles)
17. Matt Schaub, Houston Texans
Outlook: Durability is always a red flag regarding Schaub?s fantasy status, but it?s no longer as relevant, since the Houston quarterback is just a spot starter.
Projections: 3,907 passing yards, 24 rushing yards, 24 touchdowns (1 rushing), & 13 turnovers (2 fumbles)
18. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals
Outlook: If Palmer can keep his interception total down, then he?s a capable fantasy backup. Larry Fitzgerald?s also arguably the best player Palmer?s played with in his 10-year career, so don?t sleep on the former Bengal and Raider as an occasional starter.
Projections: 4,230 passing yards, 48 rushing yards, 23 touchdowns (1 rushing), & 21 turnovers (4 fumbles)
19. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers
Outlook: Because he likes to hang onto the football, Roethlisberger takes many hits. The wear and tear is starting show, as the Pittsburgh signal caller hasn?t played a full season since ?08, which was their last Super Bowl championship. He?s no more than a backup, given the offensive system and the departure of Mike Wallace.
Projections: 3,763 passing yards, 77 rushing yards, 24 touchdowns, & 15 turnovers (4 fumbles)
20. Matt Flynn, Oakland Raiders
Outlook: The Raiders are betting on Flynn?s only two NFL starts as being an accurate representation of his ability. There?s a big difference between Green Bay?s receiving corps and Oakland?s, though.
Projections: 3,923 passing yards, 41 rushing yards, 23 touchdowns, & 17 turnovers (4 fumbles)
21. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens
Outlook: Among quarterbacks, there?s simply no way Flacco?s average draft position will fall to No. 21. Many fantasy owners will likely jump at the opportunity to draft him somewhere in the mid to early teens given his momentum from winning a championship. A better strategy is to ignore any hype, as the reigning Super Bowl MVP has never thrown for 4,000 yards or more than 25 touchdowns in a season.
Projections: 3,715 passing yards, 63 rushing yards, 23 touchdowns (1 rushing), & 15 turnovers (4 fumbles)
22. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs
Outlook: Andy Reid does get notable fantasy success out of quarterbacks (namely Donovan McNabb & Michael Vick), but it would seem unlikely that Reid would change Smith?s established style of play.
Projections: 3,143 passing yards, 203 rushing yards, 21 touchdowns (1 rushing), & 9 turnovers (3 fumbles)
23. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears
Outlook: Marc Trestman?s system, which will rely on more three-step drops, is a major boon to Cutler, but the Bears are just as likely to rely on Matt Forte as Cutler?s arm. Keep the Chicago quarterback on your radar, but mostly in a backup role.
Projections: 3,296 passing yards, 170 rushing yards, 22 touchdowns (2 rushing), & 19 turnovers (4 fumbles)
24. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins
Outlook: The Dolphins won the off-season, but when has that ever gotten anyone anywhere? Tannehill had his moments as a rookie, but he remains a work in progress and year two is simply too soon to elevate him to a fantasy starter.
Projections: 3,202 passing yards, 185 rushing yards, 20 touchdowns (2 rushing), & 14 turnovers (5 fumbles)
25. E.J. Manuel, Buffalo Bills
Outlook: It?s always difficult to gauge a rookie?s transition to the pros, but Manuel?s a dynamic quarterback surrounded by good talent. He?s a definite target in dynasty and deeper leagues, but I?d take a wait-and-see approach in standard leagues.
Projections: 3,130 passing yards, 231 rushing yards, 22 touchdowns (2 rushing), & 18 turnovers (5 fumbles)
26. Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams
Outlook: Drafting Tavon Austin was a major addition for St. Louis, but Jeff Fisher teams and fantasy quarterbacks, never mesh well. History suggests a running back emerging as a top 20 positional player before Bradford.
Projections: 3,326 passing yards, 104 rushing yards, 18 touchdowns, & 14 turnovers
27. Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles
Outlook: We?ve reached the under 200-point threshold. Vick still has to win the starting job, but his capabilities as a runner always gives him potential. He?ll be worth an early-season pickup, if he can take to Chip Kelly?s system.
Projections: 2,948 passing yards, 472 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, & 16 turnovers (8 fumbles)
28. Brandon Weeden, Cleveland Browns
Outlook: The Browns play in poor weather, while having one of the league?s worst receiving corps. They also have an emerging star at running back. None of this bolds well for Weeden?s fantasy fortunes.
Projections: 3,383 passing yards, 73 rushing yards, 19 touchdowns, & 19 turnovers
29. Christian Ponder, Minnesota Vikings
Outlook: You really have to go all-in on Minnesota, if you believe in Ponder as a fantasy option. If Greg Jennings returns to form and Cordarrelle Patterson makes an impact as a rookie, then perhaps Ponder displays backup numbers.
Projections: 2,700 passing yards, 226 rushing yards, 18 touchdowns, & 18 turnovers (4 fumbles)
30. Mark Sanchez, N.Y. Jets
Outlook: There?s simply too much ambiguity surrounding the Jets? quarterback situation to consider any of their quarterbacks in fantasy.
Projections: 3,794 passing yards, 35 rushing yards, 17 touchdowns, & 31 turnovers (10 fumbles)
31. Jake Locker, Tennessee Titans
Outlook: An underachieving group of receivers and poor accuracy keeps Locker off the fantasy radar.
Projections: 2,941 passing yards, 398 rushing yards, 11 touchdowns (2 rushing), & 23 turnovers (5 fumbles)
32. Blaine Gabbert, Jacksonville Jaguars
Outlook: Like many of the under 200-point crowd, Gabbert will be lucky to start 10 or more games in 2013.
Projections: 1,647 passing yards, 81 rushing yards, 9 touchdowns, & 3 turnovers
Source: http://row12.com/article/2130/2013_Fantasy_Football_QB_Stat_Projections_(11-32)/
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